Investment Research
Recent Month's Returns and Volatility Reveal Optimal Momentum Strategy Conditions, Challenging Skip-Month Rule
Analysis of Fama-French 48 industry portfolios from 1975-2024 shows the 12-0 momentum strategy (including the most recent month) slightly outperforms the standard 12-1 (skipping it) with more stable returns across market regimes. Strong prior-month returns predict superior momentum performance, espe…
Vertical Software Moats Defy AI Disruption via Entrenchment and Switching Costs
Constellation Software's vertical market software (VMS) resists AI commoditization due to high switching costs, niche distribution challenges, on-premise entrenchment, and mission-critical reliability preferences over cost savings. AI enables faster replication of simple VMS products but fails to ov…
New Blog Post Format for In-depth Financial Analysis
The Scion Asset Management blog, "Cassandra Unchained," is implementing a new content format. Each in-depth post, ranging from 5,000 to 10,000 words with numerous visuals, will now be accompanied by an abridged summary of under 1,500 words and minimal visuals. This change aims to cater to a broader …
Palantir’s Aggressive Accounting Practices Mask Weak Cash Collections
Palantir’s financial statements indicate potential aggressive revenue recognition tactics, with accounts receivable (AR) consistently outpacing revenue growth in 9 out of the last 12 quarters. This divergence suggests the company may be booking sales faster than it collects cash, implying a deterior…