paper / jacobandreas / Jun 4
This paper benchmarks five MCMC posterior sampling algorithms — MH, MALA, HMC, NUTS, and AIES — against fully differentiable neural-network likelihood emulators for cosmological parameter inference. While NUTS achieves the fewest effective samples to convergence, its per-step computational overhead erodes that advantage in wall-clock time, leaving simpler gradient-based methods like MALA and even standard MH competitive. Whitening and covariance adaptation are identified as broadly impactful efficiency improvements across methods. The work is accompanied by the open-source BEST (Batched Emulator Sampling with TensorFlow) package, enabling general-purpose sampling of arbitrary TensorFlow likelihoods.
cosmological-inferenceposterior-samplingneural-network-emulatorsmonte-carlo-methodsbayesian-statisticscosmologyscientific-ml
“NUTS converges in the fewest samples among the tested samplers, but its higher per-step cost makes it no faster than simpler methods in wall time.”
paper / jacobandreas / Jun 4
Automating the validation of handwritten signature lists for Swiss direct democracy is constrained by the poor performance of off-the-shelf OCR on short, out-of-vocabulary entries like names and addresses. A proposed pipeline combining template-based line segmentation with both OCR and writer retrieval reveals a fundamental split: OCR is insufficiently reliable for transcription (29.6% CER on first names), while writer retrieval achieves a mean Average Precision of 50.6%, making it the more viable path for detecting duplicate submissions. The findings suggest that handwriting similarity-based retrieval, rather than text recognition, is the practical primitive for supporting electoral fraud detection in this domain.
handwriting-recognitionocrdocument-analysiswriter-retrievalcomputer-visione-democracysignature-verification
“Off-the-shelf OCR systems are not sufficiently reliable for transcribing handwritten signature list data, achieving a Character Error Rate of 29.6% on first names.”
paper / jacobandreas / May 14 / failed
paper / jacobandreas / May 14 / failed
paper / jacobandreas / May 14 / failed
paper / jacobandreas / May 14 / failed